Es que se plantea un medio plazo e incluso un largo plazo tendente a la estabilidad. Azores está fuerte, cercano y bien asentado, con tendencia a echarse encima de nosotros con facilidad. Los modelos abren opciones al cambio no muy claras de esas que no sabes muy bien si creerte o no. Lo normal sería tener mucha estabilidad para esta última parte del mes y los primeros días del siguiente porque es una configuración muy estable. Cuando el anticiclón se abra un poco al oeste, como este fin de semana, dejará pasar algo de inestabilidad casi residual, el roce de una vaguada o quizá unos días más tarde una cierta acumulación de nubosidad en el cantábrico que pueda dejarnos algo de sirimiri. El camino para el centro y sur de la península debería permanecer cerrado a cal y canto durante al menos 10 días...

La esperanza mia, es que el Azoriano lo han fortalecido desde la semana pasada (hablo de manera brutal como se ve ahora), a ver si se confunden

Acaba de actualizar el GFS y nos la acerca mas que en la salida anterior. Habra que ver la salida siguiente que va con radiosondeos

Un saludo

De momento, que la vaguada haga algo más que rozarnos ligeramente sería un desvío muy grande con respecto a lo que sería el curso normal de los acontecimientos. Ni que decir tiene que de entrar mejor la vaguada, tal y como afirma la última salida de la que hablas, Cantabro, la cota de nieve sería puntualmente más baja que la hipotética del pasado fin de semana, unos 200 metros más baja, para irse a los 1300-1400. El aire no sería muy frío en superficie, pero sí en las capas altas. Y habría movimiento, sería el clásico día de otoño tardío.

Sigo con que nos rozará...

Yo esperaba que pudiera haber habido algo más que una "simple" vaguada para los próximos días (una entrada de fría algo seria de tipo polar o semicontinental aunque es verdad que es difícil en estas fechas...) pero parece que el anticiclón azoriano, viendo el GFS y el Europeo, se acerca más de lo que nos podría interesar pero bueno. Creo que aún va a dar muchas vueltas esto (hablamos de 120h vista) pero vaya no creo que cambie mucho a más frío. Veremos.
Saludos.

hola, la verdad que os hechaba de menos, pues da gusto ver vuestros comentarios, yo solo soy un simple aficionado a la meteorologia.

hasta cuando preveeis que siga este tiempo tan seco ??

por cierto os escribo desde la region de murcia.

un saludo

Bienvenido, Juan!

El GFS ahora tambien marca nortada para el finde, con una -1 y una -25 ;)

Nadie comenta nada??

Como ha mejorado el GFS!!! Segun la ultima salida seria un comienzo interesante de la proxima semana, con una -1, una -28, preci abundante y isos inferiores a 0 durante 30h...

Saludos!!!

Lo han reducido muchisimo como casi siempre hacen, ahora nos rozaria practicamente la y -18

Eso nos daria una cota, siendo benevolos, de 1300 - 1400 m en el punto mas algido del episodio. Pero que leches, si viene acompañado de precipitacion, pues no estara mal

El Noreste si que parece que tendrian un poco mas de diversion, pero tampoco para lanzar campanas al vuelo

Ya esta todo mas o menos definido, ahora hay que controlar cosillas como la precipitacion, que habra que ver si el frente que parece que viene el fin de semana con esos factores, viene cargado o no

Veremos

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